Týmy Německa a Norska! Jaké mají vyhlídky na MS v Rize?

(foto: iihf.com)

Norsko na MS 2021

Norsko nepatří mezi týmy, které jsou závislé na přísunu hráčů z americko-kanadské NHL. V letošní sezoně jim tam zbyl poslední mohykán Mads Zuccarello, jehož Wilds už mají jisté vyřazovací boje. Norové tak v útoku budou muset spoléhat na osvědčenou trojici Patrick Thoresen, a bratři Olimbovi. Thoresen už sedmatřicetiletý kapitán norského Storhamaru si v letošní sezoně připsal 39 bodů ve 24 zápasech. Má také zkušenosti z NHL, kde zasáhl do 106 utkání v dresech Edmontonu a Philadelphie. Dvakrát také oslavil zisk Gagarinova poháru s SKA Petrohrad. V KHL odehrál 307 utkání a získal v nich 293 bodů. Zahrál si také na devíti MS, během kterých nasbíral 49 bodů. Ken Andre a Mathis Olimbovi udělali jméno především ve švédské a německé lize. Společně vytvořili jednu z nejnebezpečnějších dvojic v norské historii. Dohromady si na mistrovství připsali 94 bodů. A o tři roky starší Mathis se na MS 2011 stal nejlepším nahrávačem. Tradičním pilířem norské obrany je kapitán z MS 2019 Jonas Holøs . Bek draftovaný Coloradem, za které nastoupil k 39 zápasům, udělal kariéru hlavně za Färjestad, Lokomotiv Jaroslavl a Fribourg-Gottéron. Startoval už na čtrnácti mistrovstvích a vytvořil rekord v počtu utkání za norskou reprezentaci na této akci, který stanovil na 95 zápasů.


Vzájemné zápasy s Německem: Prvním norským soupeřem bude v Rize výběr Německa, který by podle papírových předpokladů a umístění na posledních šampionátech měl být favoritem. Ale můžeme říct, že Norové na Němce v poslední době umí. Bilance vzájemných zápasů na MS je sice 3:3, ale poslední německá výhra je z roku 2007. Od té doby Norové vyhráli 3:2 na MS 2008, 5:4 po nájezdech o deset let později, ale hlavně ve Stockholmu 2012 skončilo vzájemné utkání 12:4. Takže Němci jim mají co vracet.
Klíčové zápasy v Lotyšsku: Norsko by se rádo po letech vrátilo do přímých bojů o čtvrtfinálové příčky. K tomu bude jako základ potřebovat výhry nad Kazachstánem a Itálií, které jim samy o sobě zajistí pouze tradiční šesté místo v základní skupině. O norských šancích na čtvrtfinále pravděpodobně rozhodne hned první utkání s Německem, ve kterém favoritem určitě nebudou. V případě překvapení na úkor Němců budou potřebovat ještě body ze zápasu s Lotyšskem, nebo s jedním z týmů top 6.


Tip na výsledek: Mým soukromým typem je, ačkoli je mi norský tým sympatický, že se nezmůžou na víc, než povinná vítězství nad Itálií a Kazachstánem a zakončí skupinu na 6. místě se ziskem 6 bodů.

Program na MS 2021 v Rize:
VS Německo (22. 5. 11:15)
VS Itálie (23. 5. 11:15)
VS Finsko (25. 5. 19:15)
VS Kanada (26. 5. 19:15)
VS Lotyšsko (28. 5. 19:15)
VS USA (29. 6. 15:15)
VS Kazachstán (31. 5. 19:15)

(foto: iihf.com)

Německo na MS 2021

Náš západní soused se bude muset na letošním šampionátu obejít, bez svých hvězd minulých turnajů. Leon Draisaitl, Dominik Kahun i Philipp Grubauer si letos zahrají play-off NHL. V obraně budou spoléhat na velezkušené duo Moritz Mülller a Korbian Holzer. Holzer má na svém kontě přes 200 zápasů v NHL v dresu Anaheimu, Nashvillu a Toronta, v těchto utkáních si připsal jen 27 bodů, ale jeho kvality směrem dozadu se Němcům budou hodit. Letošní sezonu strávil v Jekatěrinburgu, kde v 30 zápasech stihl 6 bodů. V útoku budou spoléhat na tradiční hráče jako Noebels, Tiffels, Plachta, Ehliz a Eisenschmidt. Nejlepší sezonu letos prožil Marcel Noebels z Eisbären Berlin. Centr se 112 body v kanadské juniorce letos získal 42 bodů v 36 utkáních německé ligy, což je jeho osobní rekord. Na MS se objevil už pětkrát, ale nikdy nijak neoslnil, tak třeba se to letos změní. Díky absenci některých opor by mohli dostat šanci junioři jako Moritz Seider, John Peterka, Lukas Reichel, Dominik Bokk, Florian Elias, ale hlavně Tim Stützle trojka posledního draftu, která si zatím připsala v dresu Ottawy 26 bodů.


Vzájemné zápasy s Finskem: Německým pátým soupeřem na turnaji bude reprezentace země tisíců jezer. Historická bilance mluví jasně pro finský výběr celkem 9 výher proti 3 německým a jedné remíze. No, tak proč zmiňuji vzájemné zápasy právě s Finy? Mezi lety 2008-2017 vždy výhru slavilo Finsko. 2011 a 2013 se muselo prodlužovat. V roce 2010 zase čarovali brankáři, tak byl Imonen jediným střelcem zápasu. Další zápasy zase skončily rozdílem čtyř gólů. Jenže v Herningu 2018 se vše otočilo. Německo dokázalo Finy přetlačit v prodloužení, ale ani to jim tehdy na čtvrtfinále nestačilo. O rok později oba týmy spolu končily svou cestu košickou skupinou. V tomto zápase už oběma týmům šlo “jen” o pozici ve čtvrtfinále. Zápas opět vyhrál outsider, který si zajistil třetí pozici a čtvrtfinále s českým výběrem. Takže Finové určitě budou chtít Němcům oba zápasy vrátit.


Klíčové zápasy v Lotyšsku: Pro Německo je jasným cílem čtvrtfinále a v něm se porvat o překvapivé vítězství. Narozdíl od Norů je od německého týmu postup tak nějak očekávaný. Ale přeci jen nic jistého nemají. Klíčové pro Němce bude porazit v posledním zápase skupiny domácí Lotyše, protože tento mač může být zajímavým vyvrcholením skupiny a zároveň přímý boj o vyřazovací boje. V průběhu turnaje bude pro Německo důležité neztratit body s někým slabším, ale naopak překvapit favorita. Zde bych viděl pěknou šanci s Finy, protože jak už bylo výše Finsko nedokázalo německý tým porazit na posledních dvou MS. Další zápas na který se bude náš soused soustředit je ten s Norskem, protože prohra by jím hodně znepříjemnila život.


Tip na výsledek: Zde si opravdu nedovedu tipnout, kdo vyjde z utkání Německo – Lotyšsko vítězně. Ale očekávám, že oba týmy do něj půjdou za stavu, že vítěz jde do čtvrtfinále a poražený končí. Tip tedy je: 4. nebo 5. místo zisk 10-13 bodů.

Program na MS 2021 v Rize:
VS Itálie (21. 5. 15:15)
VS Norsko (22. 5. 11:15)
VS Kanada (24. 5. 19:15)
VS Kazachstán (26. 5. 15:15)
VS Finsko (29. 5. 19:15)
VS USA (31. 6. 15:15)
VS Lotyšsko (1. 6. 19:15)

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